Bimoo

Bitcoin & Macro Market Analysis - December 23rd

$BTC/USDT, Daily chart.

EMA200 is lower than the candle bar move. This is good.

With following S&P stock market down, BTC market went to bear.

Now, the candle bar is switching from the sky-blue super short-term bear trend to blue short-term bear trend lines.

I am thinking BTC will bottom out in the blue rectangle zone.

For more detail:
https://orblabs.ventures/105704/

All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.

Crypto Asset Deep Analysis｜KGeN, $KGeN

The total score evaluation is as follows.

Pain Point went upto 5.0.

Pivoting to Gaming focus L2 is the right decision for them to survive.

Product went down to 3.5.

Compared with the competitors, their platform technology is still pre-matured as L2.

Team remains at 4.0.

Their team capability has not changed a lot after rebuilt.

Execution Power went down from 4.5 to 4.0.

They have to compete with RONIN, BLAST, and Polygon in India now. Very big competitors which has very high execution capability.

Token Economy is 4.0.

$KGeN token economy will be as same as that of Polygon and BLAST.

Risk Stage is at 3.5.

As L2, they are still very early stage.

Total score is 24.0.

My minimum standard for investment is 25.0 or higher, so I don’t recommend to invest in $KGEN at this time.

For more detail:
https://orblabs.ventures/99346/

All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.

Crypto Asset Deep Analysis｜HyperliquidX, $HYPE

The total score evaluation is as follows.

-Pain Point is at 5.0.

Decentralized Berkshire Hathaway has pretty big potential.

-Product is at 4.0.

We see the big potential of vault marketplace.

-Team is at 4.0.

Most of them has quants trading and market maker experiences in both Trade-Fi and Crypto for years, which is right team formation to scale new Layer1 focusing on DeFi.

-Execution Power is at 4.5.

Hyperliquid DEX is now No.1 Perps DEX in DeFi. Also, TGE was almost perfect with following altcoin seasons.

-Token Economy is at 4.0.

I expect $HYPE tokenomics will be similar to $BNB because Binance designs $BNB tokenomis for both BSC and Exchange.

-Risk stage is at 4.0.

Series A. But, the growth speed is fast.

Total score is 25.5.

My minimum standard is 25.0 or higher. I can recommend invest in $HYPE.

For more:
https://orblabs.ventures/105418/

All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.

Technical Analysis & Industry Trend ｜ $ETH, $SUI, $HYPE, $SOL and more - December 17th

The technical analysis. SUI/USDT Daily chart.

The candle bar achieved +956% growth within 126 days. This is pretty good.

For more detail:
https://orblabs.ventures/105523/

All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.

Bitcoin & Macro Market Analysis - December 16th

The next item is iShare Bitcoin Trust Weekly Chart.

This is the largest BTC Spot ETF run by BlackRock.

The candle bar move is very similar to that of $BTC market.

The candle bar here is also forming the ascending triangle, which is bull breakout patterns.

In the case of bull breakout, the next price target is around 70.39 which is at 3.618 based on Fibonacci Retracement.

For more detail:
https://orblabs.ventures/105484/

All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.

Portfolio Update: Dec 14th 2024

I updated my portfolio.

For more detail: https://orblabs.ventures/105479/

All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.

Portfolio Update: Dec 12th 2024

I changed my portfolio.

For more detail:
https://orblabs.ventures/105301/

All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.

Crypto Asset Deep Analysis｜f(x)Protocol, $FXN No.4

Here is xPOSITION by f(x) : Competitor Landscape.

I think xPOSITION has seven key uniqueness.

#1. Custodian Risk: No.

#2. Order Types: Market Only ( MINT / REDEEM )

#3. Liquidation Protection: Automatic rebalancing, no individual liquidation risk

#4. Automatic Rebalancing: Yes

#5. Funding Fees: None under normal circumstances

#6. Market Fees: Low, due to zero funding fees, works for long-term position holdings

#7. Yield Generation for leveraged position: Yes, stability pool

Unlike Binance or dYdX, traders cannot take limit or stop loss orders on f(x), but, they can control the leverage from x2 to x10, and also gain yield generation for their leveraged positions.

Additionally, no funding fees and individual liquidation risk. These are the strategic advantage of xPOSITION on f(x).

For more detail:
https://orblabs.ventures/104793/

All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.

$5.1B daily volume of Hyperliquid L1 is currently the largest in L1 market.

If we consider $1.7B TVL on their arbitrum bridge as on-chain TVL, the capital efficiency of their Hyperliquid DEX is also very high.
https://defillama.com/protocols/Bridge

Both are quite remarkable.

Crypto Asset Deep Analysis｜REVOX.AI, $RGT

Here is the Competitor Landscape of REVOX.

Based on my analysis, I think REVOX is more close to LangChain than LucyOS by Delysium.

The clear reason is LucyOS focusing on dapps automation with major Web3 dapps while REVOX is focusing to build dev flamework for #Web3 dapps which wants to integrate LLM into their dapps.

In other words, ultimately LucyOS works as B2C solutions while REVOX and LangChain works as B2B solutions.

B2C solution always achieve faster mass adoption than B2B model based on my philosophy for innovation.

For your reference, LangChain has very sophisticated framework and API for LLM integration.

Very strong competitor for REVOX.

For more detail:
https://orblabs.ventures/99329/

All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.

Technical Analysis & Industry Trend ｜ $AGI, $ARKM, $ULTI, $HNT and more - December 11th

The next item is OTHERS: Web3 Market Cap Excluding Top 10 Weekly Chart.

Compared with TOTAL3, the technical price move of OTHERS is more bullish.

Based on my calculation, the super bullish moment in OTHERS starts at December 8th in 2024 to April 23rd in 2025 if it follow the regular move following the previous bull cycle.

For more detail:
https://orblabs.ventures/105248/

All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.

Technical Analysis & Industry Trend ｜ $ETH, $ENA, $SOL, $CYBER and more - December 10th

The technical analysis. ENA/USDT Daily chart.

Firstly, the candle bar hit higher than the previous ATH which is $1.08.

This is very positive signal that how $ENA is very bullish because it suppose to happen in December 9th with following the compatible white box.

Since it happened 2 days earlier, this is very good.

Also, currently, 4.236 based on Fibonacci Retracement (the price level is around at $1.0) as I marked in the green circle and 0.618 based on Fibonacci Retracement (the price level is around at $1.014) works as support lines.

For more detail:
https://orblabs.ventures/105211/

All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.

Bitcoin & Macro Market Analysis - December 9th

the next item is Web3 Total Market Cap Weekly Chart.

The candle bar is now trying to cross 1.272 based on Fibonacci Retracement (the price level is around at $3.62T).

My next target is $4.41T, 1.618 based on Fibonacci Retracement as I marked in the sky-blue circle.

For more detail:
https://orblabs.ventures/105171/

All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.

Crypto Asset Deep Analysis｜Arkham, $ARKM

The next item is community stats as of now.

Arkham started May 2019, and have 1.6M followers on Twitter, and 44.000 members on Discord.

1.6M followers on Twitter is impressive.

For more detail:
https://orblabs.ventures/104160/

All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.

Crypto Asset Deep Analysis｜MODE, $MODE

Here is the stats update for VMR on L1 and L2.

VMR is my own definition. Volume / Market Cap Ratio.

Higher percentage is better simply because this is the fact that larger number of users more often use the platform.

I consider #Ethereum is the median, 3.0% as of now.

Mode has 48.4%, very high. Next to #Arbitrum with 117%.

But, the issue is their 7 days volume size is only $14.5M, very small.

Basically, the market cap of MODE with $30M is undervalued based on this analysis.

For more detail:
https://orblabs.ventures/98959/

All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.

Technical Analysis & Industry Trend ｜ $AGI, $ARKM, $ULTI, $HNT and more - December 4th

The next item is OTHERS: Web3 Market Cap Excluding Top 10 Weekly Chart.

The candle bar is crossing 1.0 based on Fibonacci Retracement (the price level is around $987B) as I marked in the sky-blue circle.

Compared with TOTAL3, the technical price move of OTHERS is more bullish, which is a positive signal that the alt season just started.

For more detail:
https://orblabs.ventures/105110/

All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.

Technical Analysis & Industry Trend ｜ $ETH, $ENA, $IO, $BLAST and more - December 3rd

The technical analysis. ENA/USDT Daily chart.

The candle bar is now reacting to the crossing point between the orange bull trend line and 3.618 based on Fibonacci Retracement (the price level is around at $0.8896)

My short-term target is 4.236 based on Fibonacci Retracement (the price level is around at $1.0)

For more detail:
https://orblabs.ventures/105076/

All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.

Portfolio Update: Nov 30th 2024

Hope you are well.

I changed my portfolio. Please check out the below carefully.

https://orblabs.ventures/105024/

All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.

Bitcoin & Macro Market Analysis - December 2nd

BTC/USDT, Daily chart.

EMA200 is lower than the candle bar move. This is good.

The candle bar is now breaking out the converging trend.

For more detail:
https://orblabs.ventures/105037/

All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.

Portfolio Update: Nov 25th 2024

Hope you are well.

I changed my portfolio. Please check out the below carefully.

https://orblabs.ventures/105002/

All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.

Crypto Asset Deep Analysis｜CLONO LOGIC

I do think dapps automation by AI will be the best practice model for this recurring payment solution.

For more detail:
https://orblabs.ventures/98877/

All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.

Crypto Asset Deep Analysis｜BitVM

Let’s check out the latest updates.

#1.Trustless Setup: For decentralization, Trustless setup is important for this bridge unlike Layer Zero

Update: Apply Optimistic Verification by Operator and Fraud Proofs by Anyone based on SNARKs.

#2.Block Size Limits: The Block Size of Bitcoin Blockchain is 4MB. The bridge technology cannot exceed this limit

Update: Solved by Script Chunking and Sequential Execution.

#3. UTXO <> Account: Since UTXO does not keep each user’s account status unlike most EVM chains, the bridge technology must solve this issue

Update: They expect Covenants will solve this issue. But, this new technology has not implemented into Bitcoin yet.

#4.Roll-up: To achieve much cheeper transaction fee on #BTC L2, Roll-up is necessary.

No Update this time.

Let’s dig into each topic with more detail analysis.

For more detail:
https://orblabs.ventures/101254/

All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.

Crypto Asset Deep Analysis｜Grass, $GRASS

Here is the competitor landscape of Grass.

The biggest difference is you don’t have to buy WiFi routers to start this business unlike Helium.

Also, they mention they sell your unused WiFi bandwidth to AI Labs.

But, here is very important thing you have to understand.

I do think no AI Labs use their WiFi bandwidth on Grass. Why?

Here are two clear reasons.

First of all, as I told you many times, Decentralized GPU Cloud has very big potential in Web3.

For more detail:
https://orblabs.ventures/104405/

All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.

Crypto Asset Deep Analysis｜Anthropic AI

Founded in February 2021, new tech startup.

Dario Amodei is Co-Founder & CEO. Ex VP of Research at Open AI. Ex Research Scientist at Google. Ph.D of Biophysics at Princeton University.

Daniela Amodei is Co-Founder & President. Ex VP of Safety and Policy at Open AI. Ex Risk Manager at Stripe.

I suppose Dario and Daniela are in marital relationship. If it’s true, that’s unique leadership model.

Jack Clark is Co-Founder. Ex Policy Director at Open AI. Ex Reporter for Google, AI, AWS at Bloomberg.

Mu (Kevin) Lin is Head of ML, Trust, and Safety. Ex Engineering Manager at Stripe. Ex Engineering Manager at Lyft. PhD of Mobile Computing & Machine Learning at Dartmouth College (drop out)

Jo Zhu is Head of Growth & Partnership. Ex Partner at a16z.

Looks like those talents who were against Sam Altman's leadership.

For more detail:
https://orblabs.ventures/100166/

All of my analytical reports support English and 日本語 with 1 week free trial as of now.