8079
vaughn tan
@vt #8079
not-knowing ✹ 🍕-fan ✹ productive discomfort + idk ✹ Marseille / Singapore / Auvergne ✹ The Uncertainty Mindset (2020) ✹ now: vaughntan.org/now-ish
1708 Follower 283 Following
it's been a long time since I've seen those old skool giant flat suitcases
but here at keflavik they are abundant
but here at keflavik they are abundant
I suppose this is practical philosophy — the consequences of thinking more clearly.
A very old friend from college pinged me last week. In her line of work, she helps people deal with uncertainties around what to do and what is valuable.
Her question is (I’m paraphrasing): When people do cost/benefit analyses or expected value analyses to decide what to do in situations where they don’t know what will happen, they are treating the situation as formally risky when it may not be. What's your recommendation? Other than re-labeling the word "risk," what's the alternative course of action?
It’s an important question, because so many real-world situations are unknown in uncertain ways, not formally risky ways. I wrote about the answer here: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/what-do-uncertainty-thats-risk-vaughn-tan-z3mcc/
A very old friend from college pinged me last week. In her line of work, she helps people deal with uncertainties around what to do and what is valuable.
Her question is (I’m paraphrasing): When people do cost/benefit analyses or expected value analyses to decide what to do in situations where they don’t know what will happen, they are treating the situation as formally risky when it may not be. What's your recommendation? Other than re-labeling the word "risk," what's the alternative course of action?
It’s an important question, because so many real-world situations are unknown in uncertain ways, not formally risky ways. I wrote about the answer here: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/what-do-uncertainty-thats-risk-vaughn-tan-z3mcc/
clos bateau and ad vinum
superb from the savoie
i took a photo of rain in the colli senesi
#ITAPRound7
#ITAPRound7
now-ish, 12.10.2024: https://vaughntan.org/now-ish
so last week i stopped at a norcineria to get some beef for a stufato and it took 1h20min to get it because the correct cut and cube size had to be litigated to completion by the butcher, the cook of the attached restaurant, their daughter, and a stray professor of comparative literature who had wandered over from the resto upon hearing the heated debate. the 1.5cm wide cross-grain pieces of coscia became the best stufato I've ever had.
now, the secret can be known to all.
now, the secret can be known to all.
math socks while we discussed the philosophical underpinnings of this year's physics nobel prize and an unrelated paper in Nature Communications on vanadium dioxide oscillators as a way forward for building spiking neural networks
the fiat panda in its various generations between 1980 and 2002 were nearly perfectly shaped cars (to me). giorgetto giugaro, the designer, described the panda as a car "like a pair of jeans: simple, practical, without frills."
(it is named for empanda, roman patron goddess of travellers.)
#need
(it is named for empanda, roman patron goddess of travellers.)
#need
cooking for crowds (spinach lasagne designed for abundant leftovers)
i talked to @linus_lu about why uncertainty is not the same thing as risk, and why it matters that we mistakenly use "risk" to refer to uncertain situations.
if you like the podcast, check out my series of essays unpacking different types of not-knowing: https://vaughntan.org/notknowing
The podcast: https://open.spotify.com/episode/4WcBprPo1nzXyVkeX6EBIT
if you like the podcast, check out my series of essays unpacking different types of not-knowing: https://vaughntan.org/notknowing
The podcast: https://open.spotify.com/episode/4WcBprPo1nzXyVkeX6EBIT
Unpredictably intense extreme weather is getting more common — and we continue to be unable to make sense of it properly. The key reason for this is that we continually talk about the growing uncertainty of weather using the terminology of "risk" and "risk management."
This is wrong. We approach the increasing uncertainty of the climate using a risk mindset (inappropriate) instead of an uncertainty mindset (appropriate). It sounds like a trivial oversight but using the inappropriate risk mindset prevents us from thinking and acting appropriately in an increasingly uncertain world. It is like trying to use a hammer to drive a screw.
Over the last few years, I've been trying to unpack this problem in plain language. A good place to begin is with a trio of essays from 2022:
1. https://vaughntan.org/how-to-think-more-clearly-about-risk
2. https://vaughntan.org/the-consequences-of-mindset-mismatch
3. https://vaughntan.org/the-insidiousness-of-the-formal-risk-mindset
This is wrong. We approach the increasing uncertainty of the climate using a risk mindset (inappropriate) instead of an uncertainty mindset (appropriate). It sounds like a trivial oversight but using the inappropriate risk mindset prevents us from thinking and acting appropriately in an increasingly uncertain world. It is like trying to use a hammer to drive a screw.
Over the last few years, I've been trying to unpack this problem in plain language. A good place to begin is with a trio of essays from 2022:
1. https://vaughntan.org/how-to-think-more-clearly-about-risk
2. https://vaughntan.org/the-consequences-of-mindset-mismatch
3. https://vaughntan.org/the-insidiousness-of-the-formal-risk-mindset
lunch of scraps
(or: using up all that kale no one seems to want to eat)
(or: using up all that kale no one seems to want to eat)
amanita caesarea
not photogenic food #2
coscia braised in vernaccia and a lot of onions, with chicories and anchovy
coscia braised in vernaccia and a lot of onions, with chicories and anchovy
not photogenic food
life finds a way ... through astroturf
at the usual place
the wind keeps all but the most loyal from catalans
i spent 15 years documenting how food innovation happens in cutting-edge restaurants like noma and the fat duck — but that really just showed me that everyday eating shouldn't be about innovation, and that relentlessly pursuing innovation in food for its own sake is both wasteful and usually undelicious
but you should buy my book anyway: https://uncertaintymindset.org/
but you should buy my book anyway: https://uncertaintymindset.org/
thoroughly rested 🛌🏻
catalans again, always
inauthentic ratatouille, raw cubed tomatoes, chicken fat rice with an entire head of garlic and a whole gingerroot in it.