Polymarket
/polymarket1056
truth machine chatter
can't get that dude out of my head who bets no and wins all the time
but then I thought about it and it makes total sense
let's see how much we get by EOY using this
but then I thought about it and it makes total sense
let's see how much we get by EOY using this
"nothing ever happens" is pretty good, though it makes me wonder if any other indices (like D.C. retail service scenes) should also be valuable indicators.
Would love to see some 2026 midterm markets on Polymarket:
How many House seats the Rs have after 2026 midterms? How many the Ds will have?
How many House seats the Rs have after 2026 midterms? How many the Ds will have?
Are there any alternative frontends to @polymarket? Preferably ones that show charts of volume over time.
feature request:
pls add a "geopolitics" dashboard where all war/conflict-related markets are shown on a map (see pic)
pls add a "geopolitics" dashboard where all war/conflict-related markets are shown on a map (see pic)
pretty neat dune dashboard on polymarket's general accuracy (and biases)
https://dune.com/alexmccullough/how-accurate-is-polymarket?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email
https://dune.com/alexmccullough/how-accurate-is-polymarket?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email
@polymarket , let's have a productive poll: most performant zkVM by the end of 2025?
if kanye's X account is proven to have been sold, and that "official social media" account links an allegedly launched token, would this resolve to yes or no? (assume there is no other public statement or endorsement video)
https://polymarket.com/event/will-kanye-launch-a-coin-in-february
https://polymarket.com/event/will-kanye-launch-a-coin-in-february
