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Polymarket

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Odds Republicans sweep the House, Senate, and Presidency just hit 42%.

Democrats' odds of a sweep are down to 15%.
Trump's lead on Kamala just hit 16%.
Trump is favored to win 5/6 swing states.
Odds Republicans win the Senate are up to 78%.
Trump's odds are on the rise: he now leads Kamala by over 7%.
73% chance Kamala wins the Popular Vote.
Odds the Republicans will “sweep” the House, Senate, & Presidency are up to 32%.
/politics
Odds of a Bitcoin all-time high in 2024 are down to 44%.
Dollars are selling for 50 cents.
Trump just flipped Pennsylvania.
Trump just flipped Kamala.
60% chance the polls say that JD Vance won.
Odds JD Vance wins continue to soar.

Now a 67% chance.
What will JD Vance say tonight?
The VP debate starts in 1 hour.
JUST IN: 76% chance of an Israeli military response against Iran by Friday
There's an 89% chance Israel invades Lebanon this month.
64% chance JD Vance gets more speaking time at tonight's debate.
Trump's odds to win Arizona are up to 30%.
The Polymarket election APP is finally here.
There's a 67% chance OpenAI becomes for-profit before April.
/AI
Swing State Update:

Trump leads in Arizona and Georgia.
Kamala leads in Wisconsin and Michigan
Pennsylvania and Nevada are tied at 50%.