240932
Monteluna
@monteluna #240932
Defi. Ethereum. Physics.
1068 Follower 543 Following
Idk bears. Everyone was scared of the unlock but this is a dip for ants.
They're in a pandemic.
We're in a bandemic ✌
thank you @jackxbt.eth @geoffgolberg @nicki @kaufman @leewardbound @polluterofminds @brixbounty @frdysk and the rest for being here :)
We're in a bandemic ✌
thank you @jackxbt.eth @geoffgolberg @nicki @kaufman @leewardbound @polluterofminds @brixbounty @frdysk and the rest for being here :)
By the way, I approached this with a Fermi style approximation. Link below on Fermi's physics career and his approximations.
- Crypto bros actually love life so we're in the top end of players. There are are 53 weeks in a year.
- @basement5k.eth clearly lives in the NYC area. I figured he's probably playing 20-30x a year due to weather conditions.
- He mentioned he's been saving for "a few years", so conditioned on that information, I'd say there are about 2-3 years of cards.
At this point I would have guessed 60-90 cards. We have a good Fermi approximation of bounds here, so now we have to think about variance and adjustments.
- I personally try to play 1x a week on sim at least. Bump up the range. 70-100.
- Other signals that Basement has disposable income to golf alot: posts cars and in /golf. Bump up the range to probably 80-110.
I guessed 87 as low end of that range.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fermi_problem
- Crypto bros actually love life so we're in the top end of players. There are are 53 weeks in a year.
- @basement5k.eth clearly lives in the NYC area. I figured he's probably playing 20-30x a year due to weather conditions.
- He mentioned he's been saving for "a few years", so conditioned on that information, I'd say there are about 2-3 years of cards.
At this point I would have guessed 60-90 cards. We have a good Fermi approximation of bounds here, so now we have to think about variance and adjustments.
- I personally try to play 1x a week on sim at least. Bump up the range. 70-100.
- Other signals that Basement has disposable income to golf alot: posts cars and in /golf. Bump up the range to probably 80-110.
I guessed 87 as low end of that range.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fermi_problem
Piggybacking of @geoffgolberg and his influence metrics, I did a very light first pass on a statistical test whether or not the pagerank influence score correlates with Neynar score. I'm using a bootstrapping technique on the Spearman Rank for statistically minded people, which is below. Long story short, the distribution of these numbers is so close to 0 for casters with over 1000 followers.
With the data I have now, it appears there really isn't much of a link between how much influence one has from the Neymar engineered scores, and the graph itself. It could mean that maybe we can add pagerank scores to Neynar scores, but I'm not sure how that's actually calculated anyways (would love to learn).
It might suggest mixing the pagerank in with Neynar scores to get some better signals. I could see a world where a pagerank, World Id, and Neynar score along with other metrics are all blended to fight the bots.
CC @dwr.eth and @rish
With the data I have now, it appears there really isn't much of a link between how much influence one has from the Neymar engineered scores, and the graph itself. It could mean that maybe we can add pagerank scores to Neynar scores, but I'm not sure how that's actually calculated anyways (would love to learn).
It might suggest mixing the pagerank in with Neynar scores to get some better signals. I could see a world where a pagerank, World Id, and Neynar score along with other metrics are all blended to fight the bots.
CC @dwr.eth and @rish
I missed this news but... wut?
https://www.bankless.com/read/tethers-u-s-stablecoin-could-launch-later-this-year
https://www.bankless.com/read/tethers-u-s-stablecoin-could-launch-later-this-year
Avoiding having yet another opinion on Clanker but I'm honestly embarrassed at the level people will commit to fraud and scams here.
You have a once in lifetime opportunity to build cool things that may outlast you. Why ruin it for a short term gain?
You have a once in lifetime opportunity to build cool things that may outlast you. Why ruin it for a short term gain?
Me and who?
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The amount of people who willingly drive home after drinking in America is insane to me. Zero benefits. Max risk.
Yes but for scammers and ruggers.
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I guess being at the race was different but I barely noticed Hamilton and Leclerc. McLaren got so far ahead of the pack, then the differences between everyone else was so spread.
Everyone is making a bunch of drama out of the radio chatter but the reality is they could have swapped multiple times and wouldn't really change the order.
Everyone is making a bunch of drama out of the radio chatter but the reality is they could have swapped multiple times and wouldn't really change the order.
@bertwurst.eth is 6 months old and has more clout than anyone on this app.
Just give up being an influencer and get a real job. You can't win unless you were born a dog.
Just give up being an influencer and get a real job. You can't win unless you were born a dog.
Never ask a man his salary, a woman her age, or a Ferrari "fan" how to pronounce the name of the other guy who races with Hamilton.
My unrequested political opinion today is Ubers should be allowed to travel in HOV lanes.
At this point it would be more normal to just do cocaine.
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@bracky what does my portfolio look like?
Really cool talk with @gainsley on merchant payment processing, and how stablecoins can help!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OsSSSokWibk
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OsSSSokWibk
This was actually a really sick podcast by @rts on Eco and it's business to help solve fragmented liquidity for stablecoins.
320892
Digitized
@digitized·15:52 28/04/2025
On the latest pod, @amanda + @winnie chat w/ Ryne of @eco - a stablecoin liquidity layer for onchain apps and protocols. We dig into the stablecoin market, which has been heating up in recent months.
Spotify: https://bit.ly/44dlukJ
Apple: https://bit.ly/4lH54ay
Youtube: https://bit.ly/3Yj36Di
Spotify: https://bit.ly/44dlukJ
Apple: https://bit.ly/4lH54ay
Youtube: https://bit.ly/3Yj36Di
