976
Ben Adamsky 💭
@ba #976
co-founder @ponder @survey // benadamsky.com
8459 Follower 789 Following
Top left curving it
Our biggest pool yet, currently sitting at around $500 worth of degen in today's prices
And based on the difficulty of this one, I have a feeling there's going to be a big payout for the winners...
vote with $USDC -> get rewarded in $DEGEN
https://frame.weponder.io/api/predict/29902
And based on the difficulty of this one, I have a feeling there's going to be a big payout for the winners...
vote with $USDC -> get rewarded in $DEGEN
https://frame.weponder.io/api/predict/29902
15983
Jacek.degen.eth 🎩
@jacek·2 days ago
Just a heads-up—there's 150k $DEGEN in the @ponder prediction market pool, and it closes in 1 day.
If you've been meaning to jump in, now’s the time. 👇
https://warpcast.com/jacek/0xb4cb287f
If you've been meaning to jump in, now’s the time. 👇
https://warpcast.com/jacek/0xb4cb287f
frame.weponder.io
Had a bug the past few days that resulted in ~75 missing votes out of ~2.5k (3% of votes)
All entries have been fully refunded to the respective ponder wallets and affected users have been notified
We're continuing to ship critical reliability improvements to make voting on ponder as seamless as possible
All entries have been fully refunded to the respective ponder wallets and affected users have been notified
We're continuing to ship critical reliability improvements to make voting on ponder as seamless as possible
Looks like Dexscreener is continuing to give us issues with the usd price of USDC (similar issue as Warplet showing incorrect amounts)
We've hardcoded the usd price to 1, should hopefully resolve any weird calculations on our end
We've hardcoded the usd price to 1, should hopefully resolve any weird calculations on our end
4327
Colin Johnson 💭
@cojo.eth·4 days ago
Getting some hilarious errors in the front end calculations from our db…
Happy Monday!
Happy Monday!
This the /ponder team shipped:
- profile pages and streaks
- ability to tag users or channels in create prediction options
- dedicated internal notification service for better reliability
- initial smart wallet setup time from 60 seconds down to <20 seconds
- fixed repeated SIWF popup on desktop frame
- token balances now update instantaneously
- showing net instead of gross winnings in rankings and profiles
- fixed target URLs for welcome notifications
- fixed an edge case where ties were displaying wonky
- profile pages and streaks
- ability to tag users or channels in create prediction options
- dedicated internal notification service for better reliability
- initial smart wallet setup time from 60 seconds down to <20 seconds
- fixed repeated SIWF popup on desktop frame
- token balances now update instantaneously
- showing net instead of gross winnings in rankings and profiles
- fixed target URLs for welcome notifications
- fixed an edge case where ties were displaying wonky
Over the past week or so we had a bug on desktop that would prompt SIWF repeatedly even after you signed in on your phone
This has now been fixed, after a single sign in on desktop your session should persist once again
This has now been fixed, after a single sign in on desktop your session should persist once again
Is it just me or does it seem like for the past few weeks the flu has been wrecking literally everyone on earth?
Seems like this started even before eth denver so I can't even blame that anymore, don't remember it ever being this bad since covid
Seems like this started even before eth denver so I can't even blame that anymore, don't remember it ever being this bad since covid
Type “ponder” into your emoji list, ultimate brand equity
4923
antimo 🎩
@antimofm.eth·22:12 03/03/2025
what's farcaster's emoji?
Excited to see /ponder in the top 10 💭
New features shipping this week that'll make our frame even more fun to use (TBA)
New features shipping this week that'll make our frame even more fun to use (TBA)
2
Varun Srinivasan
@v·16:41 03/03/2025
Warpcast Developer Rewards are here!
- Weekly rewards to the top 25 frames every Wedensday
- Ranking based on number of frame opens + frame transactions
- Pool starts at $1000 and will increase over time
- Divided proportionally based on opens + txns
https://warpcast.com/~/developers/rewards
- Weekly rewards to the top 25 frames every Wedensday
- Ranking based on number of frame opens + frame transactions
- Pool starts at $1000 and will increase over time
- Divided proportionally based on opens + txns
https://warpcast.com/~/developers/rewards
Looks like we had a notification bug where winnings on the recent prediction are showing 0.74 USDC
If you voted correctly you actually won 7.44 USDC, not 0.74 USDC
We’re in the process of fixing amounts shown now and will monitor to make sure all of your earnings are displayed accurately
If you voted correctly you actually won 7.44 USDC, not 0.74 USDC
We’re in the process of fixing amounts shown now and will monitor to make sure all of your earnings are displayed accurately
Reward backfilling is now complete
If you had any missing funds, you should have received a notification along with a USDC transfer to your ponder wallet
If you had any missing funds, you should have received a notification along with a USDC transfer to your ponder wallet
976
Ben Adamsky 💭
@ba·18:17 25/02/2025
Looks like we had several predictions that didn't pay out today
We implemented a fix for this issue and will backfill rewards within the next few hours
We implemented a fix for this issue and will backfill rewards within the next few hours
Bug is now fixed, sorry we didn’t make you all trillionaires overnight 🙁
196842
erik nelson
@eriknelson.eth·15:20 27/02/2025
me calling my mom to let her know that filling out polls really paid off
Looks like we had several predictions that didn't pay out today
We implemented a fix for this issue and will backfill rewards within the next few hours
We implemented a fix for this issue and will backfill rewards within the next few hours
Sometimes you stay up late because you’re grinding to get a feature out
Sometimes you stay up late because your cat decided to eat some string and you have to spend all night at the emergency vet 🙃
Sometimes you stay up late because your cat decided to eat some string and you have to spend all night at the emergency vet 🙃
This week the /ponder team shipped:
- improved share buttons on prediction page and post-vote popup
- tapping pfps on leaderboard now opens WC account profiles
- stability improvements when voting
- fixes to individual leaderboard rank
- general bug fixes and improvements
- improved share buttons on prediction page and post-vote popup
- tapping pfps on leaderboard now opens WC account profiles
- stability improvements when voting
- fixes to individual leaderboard rank
- general bug fixes and improvements
When everyone is telling each other happy birthday on the tl but it's actually your birthday today
It appears that I'm a certified reply guy
There are more users creating @ponder predictions each week, but the product isn't very creator friendly yet and the pool sizes are small. This is going to change very soon.
Today
- creators have to spend money to create a prediction w/ no incentives
- can only use USDC
- max $0.50 bets per user
Very Soon
- creator rewards auto-distributed based on pool sizes
- multi-token support (virtually all tokens on base)
- bigger bet sizes w/ auto token swapping
Team is cooking a ton of cool features (some on this list and some not) and will continue to build through whatever markets are to come. Still feels very day 1 for us.
Today
- creators have to spend money to create a prediction w/ no incentives
- can only use USDC
- max $0.50 bets per user
Very Soon
- creator rewards auto-distributed based on pool sizes
- multi-token support (virtually all tokens on base)
- bigger bet sizes w/ auto token swapping
Team is cooking a ton of cool features (some on this list and some not) and will continue to build through whatever markets are to come. Still feels very day 1 for us.
Over the past few days we had some minor issues that should now be resolved
- in-feed frame embeds not rendering in WC
This was due to a stricter security measure set by the WC team that’s been rolled back for now
- showing incorrect voting data in notifications and the ui
This bug only affected the display of votes, funds have continued to be correctly distributed the entire time
The @ponder team worked extra hard over the weekend to make sure we’re back to normal, we’ll continue to monitor throughout the week to make sure we’re stable once again. New features coming soon!
- in-feed frame embeds not rendering in WC
This was due to a stricter security measure set by the WC team that’s been rolled back for now
- showing incorrect voting data in notifications and the ui
This bug only affected the display of votes, funds have continued to be correctly distributed the entire time
The @ponder team worked extra hard over the weekend to make sure we’re back to normal, we’ll continue to monitor throughout the week to make sure we’re stable once again. New features coming soon!
This week while I was mainly afk the /ponder team shipped:
- anti-collusion rollout on votes and leaderboard
- new in-frame navigation bar
- SIWF + onboarding flow performance improvements
- major bug fixes across the app
- anti-collusion rollout on votes and leaderboard
- new in-frame navigation bar
- SIWF + onboarding flow performance improvements
- major bug fixes across the app
We officially rolled out our new anti-collusion algo, which uses some basic ML + vote weighting to prevent users from gaming ponder predictions
The cool part of this approach is anyone who is trying to take advantage isn’t banned from voting, they’re just adding to the total pool like everyone else
s/o @etash for all the work getting this live
The cool part of this approach is anyone who is trying to take advantage isn’t banned from voting, they’re just adding to the total pool like everyone else
s/o @etash for all the work getting this live
4327
Colin Johnson 💭
@cojo.eth·17:11 11/02/2025
Last week we noticed an influx of users all voting for the same answer repeatedly, leading to statistically impossible outcomes (e.g., 100% accuracy over 30 votes).
So today we launched CollusionGuard 9000 🛡️
It uses ML to identify statistically anomalous clusters and adjust vote weights accordingly. For example, if you voted alongside 50 other people on all of the right answers for ten questions, your vote diminishes in value until your responses normalize.
People who fall into those clusters can still participate in boosted pools and win an equal amount by selecting the right answer. No banning required (for now).
There’s risk in this approach. We expect a drop off in numbers from colluders - and some won’t consider this decentralized - but the overall integrity of the game should increase.
So today we launched CollusionGuard 9000 🛡️
It uses ML to identify statistically anomalous clusters and adjust vote weights accordingly. For example, if you voted alongside 50 other people on all of the right answers for ten questions, your vote diminishes in value until your responses normalize.
People who fall into those clusters can still participate in boosted pools and win an equal amount by selecting the right answer. No banning required (for now).
There’s risk in this approach. We expect a drop off in numbers from colluders - and some won’t consider this decentralized - but the overall integrity of the game should increase.
Late update - this week the /ponder team shipped:
- SIWF + a brand new onboarding flow
- anti-collusion / anti-spam guard (releasing in the next few days)
- simplified prediction creation
- major frame performance improvements
- tons of bug fixes
- SIWF + a brand new onboarding flow
- anti-collusion / anti-spam guard (releasing in the next few days)
- simplified prediction creation
- major frame performance improvements
- tons of bug fixes
Some shocking results here
I thought this would be very close to a 50/50 split
rip my weekly accuracy
I thought this would be very close to a 50/50 split
rip my weekly accuracy
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This may be one of those pivotal moments where frames go mainstream for the first time
Crazy bullish as a builder in this space right now
Crazy bullish as a builder in this space right now
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This week the /ponder team shipped:
- frame design improvements
- share button now opens the cast composer
- daily notification cap to avoid spam
- refreshed leaderboard design w/ personal stats
- image thumbnails in predictions list
- ML algo for segment analysis
- major smart contract upgrade
- frame design improvements
- share button now opens the cast composer
- daily notification cap to avoid spam
- refreshed leaderboard design w/ personal stats
- image thumbnails in predictions list
- ML algo for segment analysis
- major smart contract upgrade
New smart contract is now live, making predictions wayy more powerful in the coming weeks 💭
h/t @benbassler.eth who led the upgrade and is already crushing it in his second week with us!
PS there's some hidden alpha in the code on what's yet to come, can you can spot it?
https://basescan.org/address/0x439bc1890b1619b72ae7c3adb8743ae7fb3762a9
h/t @benbassler.eth who led the upgrade and is already crushing it in his second week with us!
PS there's some hidden alpha in the code on what's yet to come, can you can spot it?
https://basescan.org/address/0x439bc1890b1619b72ae7c3adb8743ae7fb3762a9
Expecting ~15 mins of downtime as we upgrade our smart contracts
Then we'll release some more banger predictions you can midcurve
Then we'll release some more banger predictions you can midcurve
Everything is stable once again and missing transactions have been backfilled
Happy predicting 💭
Happy predicting 💭
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Looks like we blew through the funds in our transaction wallet that powers our backend transactions which resulted in some downtime
Should be back up and running as normal and backfilling any missing rewards over the next hour or so
Should be back up and running as normal and backfilling any missing rewards over the next hour or so
Looks like balances are stable once again
We'll continue to monitor in case any other issues pop up
We'll continue to monitor in case any other issues pop up
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Looks like we're getting rate limited by Alchemy so some users may not be able to see their balances in our frame
Should be fixed shortly
Should be fixed shortly
This week the /ponder team shipped:
- fully refactored miniapp (unlocks tons of new upcoming features)
- most pfps in the miniapp now clickable
- in-feed frame improvements
- notification reliability improvements
- lots of cleanup and bug fixes
- fully refactored miniapp (unlocks tons of new upcoming features)
- most pfps in the miniapp now clickable
- in-feed frame improvements
- notification reliability improvements
- lots of cleanup and bug fixes
Fixed an issue where some users were getting stuck on a 💭 loading screen indefinitely when trying to open a prediction frame
Happy predicting and remember to midcurve it
Happy predicting and remember to midcurve it
post a picture of you from a different era
found a better one, the first time I faded $GOAT
found a better one, the first time I faded $GOAT
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Averaging ~1% failure rate on all transactions related to predictions
The next internal goal is to get this <1% at 10x the scale
The next internal goal is to get this <1% at 10x the scale
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