predictionmkts

/predictionmkts660

a channel to share and discuss prediction markets

4013
luc
@luc·2 days ago
information wants to be free; creators want to be paid
Just hit 100x on Robert Francis Prevost
https://imagedelivery.net/BXluQx4ige9GuW0Ia56BHw/8464491f-a46d-4595-0e7b-b54323c89200/original
What are the predication markets on Base?
AI Predictions
Since AI can process large amounts of data all at once, it’s useful in identifying patterns and using those to make predictions. Businesses can then use these predictions to make informed decisions or prevent possible future issues.

Common uses of predictive AI include:

Maintenance: Tracking previous repairs and general wear and tear on parts in equipment allows AI to predict when maintenance needs to happen, preventing inconvenient breakdowns or possible accidents.
Modeling: Predictive modeling uses data mining and probability forecasting to predict and estimate future outcomes.
i have been working on prediction markets for the past few months.
( launching beta this week )

prediction markets are a novel defi primitive but the following things in current exchange such as Polymarket, Kalshi kept me bugging :

- you can not create a prediction market on your own
- the markets gets settled by a cen. third party

i think i have finally worked it out, here's the design of PNP Exchange,
a truly permissionless exchange.
https://imagedelivery.net/BXluQx4ige9GuW0Ia56BHw/050d8ef9-6aad-470f-e289-f39618d7fb00/original
prediction markets were the missing piece.
https://imagedelivery.net/BXluQx4ige9GuW0Ia56BHw/aae89dde-c40d-4db5-880d-25cf30d1ce00/original
elon referencing prediction mkts
Idea: Prediction Markets platform specializing in supreme court cases.
Thoughts?
https://imagedelivery.net/BXluQx4ige9GuW0Ia56BHw/9c718914-ce81-4859-c7b4-532f47821500/original
What if “sell in May and go away” turns out to be the bottom, and we see a volatile (up & down) bull run through the summer, with the final rally peaking in August?
The "prediction market" discussion is still going strong outside of crypto cycles.

I had initially thought the attention on prediction markets would fizzle out soon after the US elections where concluded.

Looks like interest in it is still growing and we could be seeing a lot more adoption of this tech.

https://youtu.be/xA27x7GRMZQ
Bullish 🚀
18085
mleejr
@mleejr·23:35 06/03/2025
epstein list markets have been wild—president trump just caught a bid
https://imagedelivery.net/BXluQx4ige9GuW0Ia56BHw/9fe656b0-0027-4463-c327-f222ddf72000/original
a new leader on the epstein list has emerged—david copperfield
https://imagedelivery.net/BXluQx4ige9GuW0Ia56BHw/6cfa33db-2806-4dc1-e4a2-4b40471a5900/original
was bill gates a guest on epstein island?
https://imagedelivery.net/BXluQx4ige9GuW0Ia56BHw/7d7696e3-269b-4e4b-7ea3-cb75bd113500/original
several epstein list markets will resolve today as yes
https://imagedelivery.net/BXluQx4ige9GuW0Ia56BHw/febfc463-45aa-421a-1179-a686897fb300/original
https://imagedelivery.net/BXluQx4ige9GuW0Ia56BHw/0980cb9b-43fb-4a17-c875-baf259312a00/original
$OP 7 airdrop is live now.

Check your allocation and claim tokens:

https://superframe.vercel.app/
$OP 7 airdrop is live now.

Check your allocation and claim tokens:

https://superframe.vercel.app/
Kindly send btc to $100k for me this week 🙏🏼🚀
kalshi is cooked and i was not paid to cast this
https://imagedelivery.net/BXluQx4ige9GuW0Ia56BHw/b9301479-c50a-4d59-72e3-e8d1581d2000/original
Details of the resolver on this one really matter - Gensler just formally announced he'll resign at EST noon (deliberate timing to make a statement) but despite the layperson take of the bet, fine print of the resolver states 10am EST... https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgensler/gensler-leaving-early
The top wallet on Speed Markets by trading volume will earn ~2,500 PYTH in rewards for November only.

⚡️ https://speedmarkets.xyz ⚡️

Where are you on the leaderboard? 👀👇

https://dune.com/leifu/thales-speed-markets-competition-24

If you're not there, you still have plenty of time.

Ready, set, trade. 🏁 🏁 🏁
https://imagedelivery.net/BXluQx4ige9GuW0Ia56BHw/1ae0b95b-9a87-4566-0e38-917076e76000/original
the memecoin supercycle has officially commenced
https://imagedelivery.net/BXluQx4ige9GuW0Ia56BHw/a7abb452-8d50-446f-84d3-f03c2d2caa00/original